Nothing Ever Happens is an experimental open-source trading bot designed for the Polymarket platform that implements a deliberately simple and unconventional strategy: automatically buying “No” positions across non-sports binary prediction markets. The project is built in Python using asynchronous architecture, allowing it to monitor markets, evaluate opportunities, and execute trades continuously with minimal latency. Its core concept is based on statistical observations that a majority of prediction market outcomes resolve negatively, and it attempts to exploit this base-rate bias through systematic participation rather than predictive modeling. The bot includes a safety-oriented design with explicit environment variable requirements to enable live trading, ensuring that users consciously opt into real financial risk, along with a paper trading mode for testing without capital exposure.
Features
- Automated strategy that buys No positions across selected markets
- Asynchronous architecture for continuous monitoring and execution
- Built-in paper trading mode for safe experimentation
- Safety model requiring explicit configuration for live trading
- Persistent state tracking and recovery across sessions
- Dashboard for monitoring trades and portfolio performance